PredictionBubbles

Resolution dates

Prediction Market Calendar

When the markets on this board are due to be settled. 1,938 open Polymarket and Kalshi markets carry a stated resolution date inside the next 5 years; this page lists the months in date order and, inside each one, the biggest markets first — so you can see what a given month decides before it gets there.

Dates are the venues' own · rebuilt every 15 minutes · read from the venues

Next resolution: Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in… by-election?

1,938dated resolutions ahead

23next 7 days

183next 30 days

522in December 2026, the busiest

Resolutions by month

Every month inside the next 5 years that has at least one market with a stated resolution date — in date order, with how many land in that month and the largest of them by traded volume. The first 6 months link to a table of their own below; the rest are counts, and their markets are listed on the category pages.

MonthMarketsFirst deadlineBiggest by volumeVolume
August 2026121Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$12.3M
September 2026190Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25… 2026 meeting?$7.9M
October 2026161Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026… election?$13.9M
November 202688Will James Fishback be the… Governor in Florida?$15.8M
December 2026522Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$65.0M
January 2027245Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$26.8M
February 202734Will Republicans win the House in 2026?$13.1M
March 202735More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — Yes$31.4M
April 202743Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French… election?$6.3M
May 202735Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the… League Championship?$4.2M
June 20275Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? — Nithya Raman$14.8M
July 202738Will Paramount's takeover of Warner… Before July 2027?$1.7M
August 202712Who will win the 2026 South Carolina… — Darline Graham$3.4M
September 20272Will Count Binface Party win the 2026 Clacton by-election?$1.0M
October 20274Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian… election?$705K
November 202724Who will win the governorship in… — Steve Hilton$7.1M
December 20277Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$2.7M
January 202824Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.1M
February 20285Will Tyler Shough win the MVP?$844K
April 20281Will any company announce that it… before Apr 1, 2028?$5K
July 20281Will the number of unemployment rate… be above 2? — Yes$25.9M
October 202836Will Los Angeles D win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?$3.9M
November 2028222Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$54.5M
December 20281Will the Hikaru Nakamura win the World Chess Championship?$644K
January 202911Will Trump buy Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029$3.5M
February 202927Will Los Angeles R win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?$5.0M
June 20291Will Philadelphia win the Pro… the 2026-27 season?$527K
July 202916Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?$6.6M
November 202927Who will win the next presidential election? — Marco Rubio$4.8M

August 2026

121 markets with a stated resolution date in August 2026, largest first by traded volume. The Resolves in column counts down from the venue's own timestamp and the same market's page states the exact time in UTC.

MarketResolves inOdds24hVolumeVenueCategory
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?2.8%-2.5 points$12.3MPolymarketPolitics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?0.2%$6.1MPolymarketPolitics
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?1.6%-0.1 points$3.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?1.1%+0.2 points$2.9MPolymarketPolitics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?7.5%-10.0 points$2.5MPolymarketPolitics
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?0.4%-0.2 points$2.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next?0.9%$2.2MPolymarketSports
Will Rei Sakamoto win the Blanchet vs Sakamoto: Round Of 32 match?36.0%-3.0 points$2.1MKalshiSports
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next?0.6%$1.8MPolymarketSports
Will Ugo Blanchet win the Blanchet vs Sakamoto: Round Of 32 match?64.0%+2.0 points$1.8MKalshiSports
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?99.7%+4.2 points$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?3.5%-0.4 points$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?96.9%-0.1 points$1.7MPolymarketPolitics
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?99.0%-0.2 points$1.7MPolymarketPolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?89.5%+1.0 points$1.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?1.5%+0.4 points$1.6MPolymarketPolitics
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?99.6%+5.1 points$1.5MPolymarketPolitics
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?29.5%+1.0 points$1.5MPolymarketPolitics
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 TOUR Championship?0.9%-3.7 points$1.3MPolymarketSports
Trump out as President by August 31?0.5%$1.3MPolymarketPolitics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?30.5%-13.0 points$1.2MPolymarketPolitics
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?9.5%$1.2MPolymarketOther
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?0.1%$1.1MPolymarketPolitics
Iran leadership change by August 31?2.8%$1.1MPolymarketPolitics
Will Juan Bautista Torres win the Romano vs Torres: Round Of 16 match?52.0%$1.1MKalshiSports

96 more August 2026 markets not shown here — the category pages list every one: culture, finance, tech.

September 2026

190 markets resolving in September 2026.

MarketResolves inOdds24hVolumeVenueCategory
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1.1%-0.3 points$7.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?66.5%+8.0 points$6.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?67.5%+1.0 points$6.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?33.5%-7.0 points$6.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.4%-0.1 points$4.5MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.5%-0.1 points$4.0MPolymarketPolitics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?2.1%$3.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?3.0%0.0 points$3.4MKalshiPolitics
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?5.3%+0.1 points$3.2MPolymarketPolitics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?15.5%-3.0 points$3.0MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?65.0%+8.0 points$3.0MKalshiOther
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2026? — Before September1.0%0.0 points$2.6MKalshiTech
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?16.9%-0.1 points$2.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.2%$2.3MPolymarketPolitics
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?24.7%-1.5 points$2.0MPolymarketPolitics
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? — Before Sep 1, 20262.0%0.0 points$1.9MKalshiPolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?1.2%$1.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?0.1%$1.7MPolymarketSports
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Sep 1, 2026?1.0%0.0 points$1.6MKalshiPolitics
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?2.1%$1.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?2.0%0.0 points$1.5MKalshiOther
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?33.0%-9.0 points$1.5MKalshiOther
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?23.5%-3.0 points$1.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?1.8%-0.1 points$1.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.4%$1.4MPolymarketPolitics

165 more September 2026 markets not shown here — the category pages list every one: crypto, finance.

October 2026

161 markets resolving in October 2026.

MarketResolves inOdds24hVolumeVenueCategory
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$13.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$10.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$10.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%-0.1 points$9.7MPolymarketPolitics
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7.5%-0.7 points$9.5MPolymarketPolitics
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63.5%$8.2MPolymarketPolitics
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?27.3%+0.3 points$8.1MPolymarketPolitics
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$8.0MPolymarketPolitics
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$7.1MPolymarketPolitics
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.9%-0.2 points$5.7MPolymarketPolitics
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.1%$5.5MPolymarketPolitics
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.2%$5.2MPolymarketPolitics
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.4%$5.1MPolymarketPolitics
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$4.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$4.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2.6%-0.3 points$4.3MPolymarketPolitics
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$3.5MPolymarketPolitics
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?59.5%+1.1 points$3.3MPolymarketSports
Will LeBron James announce his retirement in 2026? — Before the start of the 2026-27 regular season2.0%+1.0 points$3.2MKalshiSports
Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?2.8%+0.1 points$3.0MKalshiOther
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?2.4%$2.6MPolymarketSports
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?0.3%$2.6MPolymarketSports
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1%$2.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?0.1%$2.2MPolymarketSports
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?0.1%$2.2MPolymarketSports

136 more October 2026 markets not shown here — the category pages list every one: crypto, finance, tech.

November 2026

88 markets resolving in November 2026.

MarketResolves inOdds24hVolumeVenueCategory
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?1.9%+0.2 points$15.8MKalshiPolitics
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?87.5%+1.0 points$5.2MPolymarketPolitics
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.2%-0.1 points$4.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?12.5%$4.1MPolymarketPolitics
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?32.5%+2.0 points$3.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?97.8%-0.6 points$3.6MKalshiPolitics
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?0.9%+0.6 points$3.6MKalshiPolitics
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?7.3%+0.4 points$2.6MPolymarketPolitics
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House49.5%+3.0 points$2.5MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?52.5%+6.0 points$2.3MPolymarketPolitics
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House11.5%$2.2MPolymarketPolitics
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? — Before election day 20267.9%+0.8 points$2.1MKalshiPolitics
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$2.0MPolymarketPolitics
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?0.4%+0.1 points$2.0MPolymarketCulture
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$1.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House37.5%-3.0 points$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?92.2%-0.8 points$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
2026 Balance of Power: Other0.2%+0.1 points$1.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$1.7MPolymarketPolitics
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1%$1.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?47.5%-6.0 points$1.6MPolymarketPolitics

63 more November 2026 markets not shown here — the category pages list every one: sports, tech.

December 2026

522 markets resolving in December 2026.

MarketResolves inOdds24hVolumeVenueCategory
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.9%$65.0MPolymarketCulture
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?18.5%+1.0 points$58.4MPolymarketPolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.8%$39.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?4.5%$36.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3.8%+0.1 points$35.3MPolymarketPolitics
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1%$32.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1%$25.8MPolymarketPolitics
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?6.5%$24.6MPolymarketPolitics
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?7.5%$18.7MPolymarketPolitics
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?3.8%+0.1 points$17.8MPolymarketClimate
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$12.9MPolymarketSports
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$12.2MPolymarketSports
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$12.2MPolymarketSports
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$12.0MPolymarketSports
Xi Jinping out before 2027?4.7%+0.1 points$12.0MPolymarketPolitics
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$11.9MPolymarketSports
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$11.8MPolymarketSports
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$11.7MPolymarketSports
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?3.4%$11.7MPolymarketPolitics
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$11.5MPolymarketSports
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$11.1MPolymarketSports
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$10.9MPolymarketSports
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1%$10.7MPolymarketSports
Trump out as President before 2027?6.5%$10.6MPolymarketPolitics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?5.5%$10.6MPolymarketPolitics

497 more December 2026 markets not shown here — the category pages list every one: crypto, finance, other, tech.

January 2027

245 markets resolving in January 2027.

MarketResolves inOdds24hVolumeVenueCategory
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?6.6%+0.4 points$26.8MKalshiTech
Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?5.1%-0.5 points$11.4MKalshiPolitics
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?18.0%-3.5 points$6.9MPolymarketPolitics
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?3.0%-1.0 points$6.9MKalshiCrypto
Donald Trump out before 2027?5.1%+0.1 points$5.7MKalshiPolitics
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?1.8%-0.1 points$5.4MPolymarketCrypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?55.5%$5.0MPolymarketCrypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?2.2%-0.3 points$4.9MPolymarketCrypto
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?4.7%-0.1 points$4.7MPolymarketCrypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?22.5%-2.0 points$4.1MPolymarketCrypto
Will there be a recession in 2026? — Starts7.0%+1.0 points$3.2MKalshiOther
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?7.5%-4.0 points$2.8MPolymarketCrypto
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?2.8%-0.7 points$2.7MPolymarketCrypto
Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?9.0%+3.0 points$2.7MKalshiFinance
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?35.5%+1.0 points$2.7MPolymarketCrypto
Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027? — Yes5.0%0.0 points$2.4MKalshiCulture
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?8.5%$2.4MPolymarketCrypto
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026? — Before 202754.0%-3.0 points$2.3MKalshiOther
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?11.8%$2.3MPolymarketCrypto
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?0.9%$2.2MPolymarketCrypto
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? — 50,000 to 54,999.995.7%+0.4 points$2.2MKalshiCrypto
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? — Exactly 0 cuts85.9%-0.9 points$2.2MKalshiOther
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? — 65,000 to 69,999.9913.0%-1.5 points$2.2MKalshiCrypto
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? — 45,000 to 49,999.995.5%-0.1 points$2.1MKalshiCrypto
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? — 70,000 to 74,999.9911.0%+0.7 points$2.1MKalshiCrypto

220 more January 2027 markets not shown here — the category pages list every one: climate, sports.

What this page is, and what it is not

This is a calendar: a market's stated resolution date, grouped by the month it falls in, across every open market this board tracks with a date inside the next 5 years. Use it to see when a question gets settled.

Markets ending soon answers the nearer question — what is about to be decided — over the next 30 days, ranked by the clock with live countdowns rather than by month. The two overlap for the coming month on purpose; if you want the next few days, that page is the better one.

A resolution date is the venue's, not this site's, and venues move them: a question can settle early once the outcome is beyond doubt, or sit past its date waiting on the source that decides it. Markets whose whole life is shorter than 14 days are left out — a same-day market is not a calendar entry — and so are the placeholder dates open-ended series carry, which is why some markets on the board appear nowhere here — as do the handful whose stated date falls beyond the 5-year window above.

FAQ

When do prediction markets resolve?

Each market carries its own resolution date, set by the venue when the market opens. This page groups every dated open market on the board by the month its date falls in, and each market's page states the exact timestamp in UTC.

Which prediction markets resolve this month?

183 of the markets on this board have a stated resolution date in the next 30 days. The month tables below list them, and the ending-soon page ranks the same window by the clock with live countdowns.

What happens when a prediction market resolves?

The venue settles it against its stated source: contracts on the outcome that happened pay $1 each and the others pay nothing. Trading stops. The market's page here stays up with the last prices before settlement.

Can a prediction market resolve before its date?

Yes. A date is a deadline, not a schedule — a market can settle as soon as its outcome is beyond doubt. It can also run past the date while the venue waits on whatever source decides it, which this site shows as awaiting settlement rather than as an open countdown.

Why is a market I follow not on this calendar?

Three reasons cover almost all of them: the venue publishes no resolution date, the date is a placeholder far beyond the horizon this page covers, or the market's whole life is shorter than a few days, which makes it a fixture rather than a calendar entry.

How often does this calendar update?

Every 15 minutes, from the same export as the rest of the site. A market that resolves drops off the board at the next rebuild and its page becomes the record of where it finished.