Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes is trading at 26.2% on Polymarket, down 1.4 points in the last 24 hours. $8.0M has changed hands over the market’s life, $72K of it in the last day. It resolves on 4 October 2026, 59 days from now.
By volume it is number 135 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $72K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Polymarket ↗Current odds
| Yes | 26.2% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 73.9% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $8.0M
- 24h volume
- $72K
- 24h move
- -1.4 points
- Liquidity
- $226K
- Open interest
- $4.3M
- Opened
- 18 September 2025
- Resolves
- 4 October 2026
- Venue
- Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon
Where this price comes from
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.
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