PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? — Before election day 2026

Before election day 2026 is trading at 9.1% on Kalshi, down 1.9 points in the last 24 hours. $1.8M traded over the market’s life, $59K of it in the last day. It resolves on 3 November 2026, 87 days from now.

By volume it is number 341 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $59K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Before election day 20269.1%
No90.9%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$1.8M
24h volume
$59K
24h move
-1.9 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$836K
Opened
21 December 2024
Resolves
3 November 2026
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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