Kalshi · Other

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

Fed maintains rate is trading at 50.0% on Kalshi, up 8.0 points in the last 24 hours. $507K has changed hands over the market’s life, $121K of it in the last day. It resolves on 16 September 2026, 42 days from now.

By volume it is number 5 of the 61 open other markets on the board, and $121K of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Fed maintains rate	50.0%
No	50.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

6 Mar28.4% – 93.6%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume: $507K
24h volume: $121K
24h move: +8.0 points
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $396K
Opened: 29 September 2025
Resolves: 16 September 2026
Venue: Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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