| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 0.2% | — | $74.6M | Polymarket |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 15.5% | -6.0 points | $56.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 1.6% | — | $55.9M | Polymarket |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.1% | — | $54.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $54.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.7% | — | $52.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.9% | — | $50.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $48.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | — | $44.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.1% | — | $44.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.5% | — | $44.0M | Polymarket |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $43.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $43.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.2% | -0.1 points | $43.4M | Polymarket |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $42.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $42.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $42.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $42.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $42.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 0.7% | -0.1 points | $41.3M | Polymarket |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $40.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.2% | — | $39.7M | Polymarket |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 4.0% | — | $39.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $38.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $38.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.2% | — | $37.6M | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 5.5% | — | $36.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $36.3M | Polymarket |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.1% | — | $36.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $36.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $35.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 3.8% | -0.1 points | $35.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.9% | — | $35.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.2% | — | $34.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $33.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.2% | — | $33.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $32.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.5% | — | $32.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $32.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.5% | — | $31.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.5% | — | $31.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 0.6% | +0.1 points | $29.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | — | $28.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $28.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.5% | — | $28.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | +0.1 points | $28.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $28.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $27.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 0.5% | — | $26.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 18.4% | -0.4 points | $26.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.7% | — | $26.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.9% | — | $26.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.7% | — | $25.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $25.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.5% | — | $25.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 0.2% | — | $25.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 2.1% | -0.1 points | $24.6M | Polymarket |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $24.3M | Polymarket |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 0.1% | — | $24.3M | Polymarket |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 6.5% | — | $23.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.5% | — | $22.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $22.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.2% | -0.1 points | $21.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $21.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | — | $20.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $20.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $20.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | — | $19.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1.2% | — | $18.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | — | $18.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $18.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.7% | — | $18.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.2% | — | $18.5M | Polymarket |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 7.5% | -1.0 points | $18.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 11.7% | -0.1 points | $17.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $17.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1.5% | — | $17.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 2.9% | +0.1 points | $17.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | -0.1 points | $17.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $16.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.1% | +0.1 points | $16.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.7% | -0.1 points | $15.4M | Polymarket |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1.1% | — | $15.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 3.0% | — | $15.1M | Polymarket |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 20.9% | +0.2 points | $15.1M | Polymarket |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 46.0% | — | $14.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 2.5% | +0.1 points | $14.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 14.3% | +0.8 points | $14.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $13.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1.2% | +0.1 points | $13.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $13.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | 0.2% | — | $13.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.9% | -0.1 points | $13.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.4% | — | $12.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 8.6% | — | $12.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 2.5% | — | $12.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 8.7% | -0.4 points | $12.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 14.6% | -0.2 points | $12.5M | Polymarket |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.4% | — | $12.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1.1% | -0.1 points | $12.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1.6% | — | $12.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.9% | — | $12.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1.5% | — | $11.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 5.3% | +0.2 points | $11.7M | Polymarket |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 4.2% | -0.1 points | $11.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 4.3% | -0.1 points | $11.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 13.5% | — | $11.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 2.2% | +0.2 points | $11.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.7% | — | $10.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1.1% | — | $10.6M | Polymarket |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | 5.5% | — | $10.5M | Polymarket |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 6.5% | — | $10.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $10.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $10.4M | Polymarket |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1.1% | -0.1 points | $10.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $10.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 27.8% | — | $10.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $9.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $9.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.6% | +0.1 points | $9.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 4.9% | — | $9.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 2.1% | — | $9.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 2.3% | -0.1 points | $9.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $9.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 7.2% | +0.2 points | $9.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $8.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.2% | -0.1 points | $8.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 4.5% | -0.2 points | $8.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | — | $8.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $8.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.4% | — | $8.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | -0.1 points | $8.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1.6% | — | $8.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 65.5% | +1.0 points | $8.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 26.2% | -1.4 points | $8.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 0.2% | — | $7.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.5% | — | $7.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 2.5% | — | $7.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $7.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1.3% | -0.4 points | $7.9M | Polymarket |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | 17.5% | +4.0 points | $7.1M | Polymarket |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 63.5% | +5.0 points | $7.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 2.5% | — | $7.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $6.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.5% | — | $6.7M | Polymarket |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.4% | — | $6.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $6.2M | Polymarket |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 66.5% | +3.0 points | $6.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | — | $6.0M | Polymarket |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | 78.5% | +27.0 points | $5.8M | Polymarket |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $5.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $5.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 85.0% | +0.8 points | $5.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $5.5M | Polymarket |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $5.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1.5% | +0.5 points | $5.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.2% | -0.3 points | $5.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 9.0% | -0.3 points | $5.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $5.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $5.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $5.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $5.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $5.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $5.1M | Polymarket |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 86.5% | +1.0 points | $5.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $5.0M | Polymarket |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | 25.5% | — | $5.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $4.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.8% | +0.5 points | $4.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $4.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $4.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $4.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $4.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $4.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.2% | -0.2 points | $4.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 2.5% | +0.1 points | $4.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $4.1M | Polymarket |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 13.5% | — | $4.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $4.0M | Polymarket |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | 2.1% | -0.3 points | $3.9M | Polymarket |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 22.5% | -4.0 points | $3.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $3.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $3.9M | Polymarket |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 1.6% | +0.3 points | $3.9M | Polymarket |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 49.5% | +7.0 points | $3.8M | Polymarket |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | 14.5% | -1.0 points | $3.7M | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 2.1% | +0.1 points | $3.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $3.7M | Polymarket |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | 32.0% | -0.5 points | $3.6M | Polymarket |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | 4.3% | +0.4 points | $3.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.1% | -0.1 points | $3.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $3.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $3.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $3.3M | Polymarket |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | 9.5% | — | $3.2M | Polymarket |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | 7.2% | -0.5 points | $3.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $3.1M | Polymarket |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 48.5% | -6.0 points | $3.1M | Polymarket |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $3.0M | Polymarket |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 4.5% | — | $3.0M | Polymarket |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | 100.0% | +0.1 points | $2.9M | Polymarket |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | 3.6% | +0.9 points | $2.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $2.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 6.5% | — | $2.9M | Polymarket |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | 6.5% | — | $2.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 82.3% | -0.1 points | $2.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 33.5% | — | $2.7M | Polymarket |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 12.5% | -1.0 points | $2.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 6.2% | -0.2 points | $2.6M | Polymarket |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | 2.2% | +0.1 points | $2.5M | Polymarket |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | 19.5% | — | $2.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | 8.5% | — | $2.5M | Polymarket |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | 5.0% | -0.1 points | $2.4M | Polymarket |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | 0.1% | -0.1 points | $2.4M | Polymarket |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 45.5% | -2.0 points | $2.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.2% | — | $2.4M | Polymarket |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 17.5% | +0.1 points | $2.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 0.1% | — | $2.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | — | $2.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 2.4% | -0.7 points | $2.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 4.3% | +0.4 points | $2.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | 1.2% | — | $2.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.2% | — | $2.2M | Polymarket |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 44.5% | -1.0 points | $2.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Alberta join the US? | 2.1% | — | $2.2M | Polymarket |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | 2.5% | +0.5 points | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | 5.5% | — | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | 34.5% | — | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.4% | — | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | 9.5% | — | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | 12.0% | +2.5 points | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | 9.5% | -1.0 points | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 12.5% | — | $2.1M | Polymarket |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 39.5% | +0.5 points | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.2% | — | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 4.9% | — | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.1% | — | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.4% | — | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | — | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.1% | — | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.9% | +0.1 points | $2.0M | Polymarket |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2.5% | — | $1.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | 4.0% | — | $1.9M | Polymarket |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | 31.5% | +9.0 points | $1.9M | Polymarket |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.2% | — | $1.9M | Polymarket |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 25.6% | -1.0 points | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | 1.3% | +0.1 points | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | 3.4% | +0.1 points | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 0.9% | — | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | 29.8% | -0.1 points | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 9.5% | +1.0 points | $1.8M | Polymarket |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | 0.4% | — | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.4% | — | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | 40.5% | — | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 93.8% | — | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | 7.5% | -2.0 points | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | 1.8% | — | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | 93.1% | -0.1 points | $1.7M | Polymarket |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | 10.5% | -1.0 points | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | 1.9% | — | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 52.5% | +0.6 points | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2.2% | — | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.6M | Polymarket |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 55.5% | +0.5 points | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 26.5% | +1.0 points | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.2% | — | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 1.4% | +0.1 points | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | 1.5% | -0.4 points | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.5% | — | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.1% | — | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.2% | — | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 1.1% | — | $1.5M | Polymarket |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 0.8% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 3.5% | +0.5 points | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | 3.8% | +0.3 points | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | 2.9% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | 2.1% | -0.2 points | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 0.5% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 2.1% | +0.1 points | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | 98.8% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | 33.6% | +1.3 points | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | 1.9% | +0.2 points | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | 1.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.4M | Polymarket |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | 1.5% | — | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | 4.8% | -0.1 points | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | — | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | — | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 1.0% | +0.1 points | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | 3.2% | — | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 36.4% | -1.5 points | $1.3M | Polymarket |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 0.5% | — | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | 3.5% | -0.1 points | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 97.5% | -0.7 points | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | 41.9% | -0.5 points | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | 4.9% | +0.1 points | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | 25.5% | — | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.4% | — | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0.4% | — | $1.2M | Polymarket |
| Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? | 41.0% | -1.0 points | $297K | Kalshi |
| Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028? | 57.0% | 0.0 points | $234K | Kalshi |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 9.9% | -5.1 points | $38K | Kalshi |
| Who will the next Pope be? — Pietro Parolin | 4.2% | 0.0 points | $23K | Kalshi |
| Who will the next Pope be? — Peter Erdo | 3.3% | 0.0 points | $22K | Kalshi |
| Who will the next Pope be? — Pierbattista Pizzaballa | 4.6% | 0.0 points | $19K | Kalshi |
| Who will the next Pope be? — Fridolin Ambongo | 2.3% | 0.0 points | $19K | Kalshi |
| Who will the next Pope be? — Luis Antonio Tagle | 4.2% | 0.0 points | $18K | Kalshi |
| Who will the next Pope be? — Matteo Zuppi | 3.0% | 0.0 points | $17K | Kalshi |
| Who will the next Pope be? — Anders Arborelius | 2.6% | 0.0 points | $17K | Kalshi |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 6.0% | 0.0 points | $16K | Kalshi |
| Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 9.0% | 0.0 points | $14K | Kalshi |
| Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 59.0% | 0.0 points | $12K | Kalshi |
| Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 2.5% | 0.0 points | $10K | Kalshi |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 2.2% | 0.0 points | $8K | Kalshi |
| Will Chen Jining become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 9.8% | 0.0 points | $6K | Kalshi |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 12.0% | 0.0 points | $6K | Kalshi |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 1.6% | 0.0 points | $6K | Kalshi |
| Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.1% | 0.0 points | $5K | Kalshi |
| Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 17.0% | 0.0 points | $4K | Kalshi |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 0.5% | 0.0 points | $4K | Kalshi |
| Will Yoav Gallant be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $4K | Kalshi |
| Will Li Xi become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 11.0% | 0.0 points | $3K | Kalshi |
| Will Zhao Leji become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 13.0% | 0.0 points | $3K | Kalshi |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $3K | Kalshi |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $3K | Kalshi |
| Will Yin Li become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $3K | Kalshi |
| Will Cai Qi become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 9.0% | 0.0 points | $1K | Kalshi |
| Will Ben Wallace be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 3.0% | -3.0 points | $886 | Kalshi |
| Will Artie Blanco be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.9% | 0.0 points | $628 | Kalshi |
| Will David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 13.0% | 0.0 points | $618 | Kalshi |
| Will Kaja Kallas be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $614 | Kalshi |
| Will Alexander Stubb be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 25.0% | 0.0 points | $598 | Kalshi |
| Will Chen Min'er become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 0.2% | 0.0 points | $527 | Kalshi |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 11.0% | 0.0 points | $527 | Kalshi |
| Will Shasti Conrad be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.1% | 0.0 points | $497 | Kalshi |
| Will Zhang Guoqing become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 5.1% | 0.0 points | $483 | Kalshi |
| Will Ma Xingrui become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 2.0% | 0.0 points | $478 | Kalshi |
| Will Petr Pavel be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 7.0% | 0.0 points | $456 | Kalshi |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 4.0% | 0.0 points | $371 | Kalshi |
| Will Wang Huning become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 0.1% | 0.0 points | $334 | Kalshi |
| Will Yin Yong become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 0.1% | 0.0 points | $299 | Kalshi |
| Will Li Ganjie become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 2.5% | 0.0 points | $291 | Kalshi |
| Will He Lifeng become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? | 0.2% | -0.8 points | $275 | Kalshi |
| Will Klaus Iohannis be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 14.0% | 0.0 points | $249 | Kalshi |
| Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 19.0% | 0.0 points | $242 | Kalshi |
| Will Stacey Abrams be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $224 | Kalshi |
| Will Reyna Walters-Morgan be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 2.0% | 0.0 points | $222 | Kalshi |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 6.0% | 0.0 points | $191 | Kalshi |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next Secretary General of NATO? | 9.0% | 0.0 points | $148 | Kalshi |
| Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032? | 43.0% | 0.0 points | $124 | Kalshi |
| Will the Democratic party win the Presidency in 2032? | 43.0% | 0.0 points | $111 | Kalshi |
| Will Ro Khanna be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $93 | Kalshi |
| Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 16.0% | 0.0 points | $82 | Kalshi |
| Will Quintessa Hathaway be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $82 | Kalshi |
| Will Pramila Jayapal be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $75 | Kalshi |
| Will J.B. Pritzker be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 4.8% | 0.0 points | $52 | Kalshi |
| Will Sherrod Brown be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 4.4% | 0.0 points | $44 | Kalshi |
| Will Jon Tester be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | -3.4 points | $42 | Kalshi |
| Will Amanda Litman be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 4.4% | 0.0 points | $41 | Kalshi |
| Will Tim Walz be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 4.4% | 0.0 points | $41 | Kalshi |
| Will Nate Snyder be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | -3.4 points | $31 | Kalshi |
| Will Laphonza Butler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 4.4% | 0.0 points | $27 | Kalshi |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 4.5% | 0.0 points | $21 | Kalshi |
| Will Jason Rae be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.3% | 0.0 points | $16 | Kalshi |
| Will Malcolm Kenyatta be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | -3.3 points | $16 | Kalshi |
| Will Virginia McGregor be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 1.0% | 0.0 points | $14 | Kalshi |
| Will Jason Paul be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $10 | Kalshi |
| Will Jane Kleeb be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $8 | Kalshi |
| Will James Skoufis be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $8 | Kalshi |
| Will Marianne Williamson be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $8 | Kalshi |
| Will Andy Beshear be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $7 | Kalshi |
| Will Chris Korge be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $7 | Kalshi |
| Will Howard Dean be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $7 | Kalshi |
| Will Jaime Harrison be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $7 | Kalshi |
| Will Michael Blake be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $7 | Kalshi |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $7 | Kalshi |
| Will Ben Wikler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $3 | Kalshi |
| Will Mitch Landrieu be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? | 5.0% | 0.0 points | $1 | Kalshi |