PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes is trading at 22.5% on Polymarket, down 4.0 points in the last 24 hours. $3.9M has changed hands over the market’s life, $131K of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 149 days from now.

By volume it is number 181 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $131K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes22.5%
No77.5%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul16.7% – 60.3%5 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$3.9M
24h volume
$131K
24h move
-4.0 points
Liquidity
$322K
Open interest
$1.5M
Opened
11 January 2026
Resolves
1 January 2027
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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