PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes is trading at 0.1% on Polymarket. $13.8M has changed hands over the market’s life, $102K of it in the last day. It resolves on 4 October 2026, 59 days from now.

By volume it is number 89 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $102K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes0.1%
No100.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul0.0% – 1.4%5 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$13.8M
24h volume
$102K
24h move
—
Liquidity
$386K
Open interest
$4.3M
Opened
18 September 2025
Resolves
4 October 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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