New Prediction Markets

Newest market

The most recently opened market this page tracks — picked purely by its creation time, not by size or movement.

New prediction markets today

Markets the venues opened within the last 24 hours, newest first. Very new markets often carry little volume and no 24-hour comparison yet — that is honesty, not a gap.

New prediction markets this week

Opened between one and seven days ago — old enough to have a 24-hour history, new enough to still be settling in. The full table lists all 127 markets from the last 30 days.

New markets starting to move

Opened within the last week and already moving at least one probability point in 24 hours — the same movement bar the movers page uses everywhere. A brand-new market cannot appear here by accident: the 24-hour change only exists once a day-old baseline does.

New markets getting attention

A different question from movement: which of the week's new markets are people actually trading? Ranked by 24-hour volume. Attention is context, not endorsement — a busy new market is one people find worth pricing, nothing more.

New markets resolving soon

Created within the last week and already inside 30 days of resolution — new questions that will be answered quickly. Everything near a deadline lives on markets ending soon.

New markets by category

Where the new questions are appearing — each card shows the category's count and its latest market.

New markets by venue

The two venues in depth: Polymarket vs Kalshi.

All new markets from the last 30 days

Every open market the venues created inside 30 days, newest first. Filters work on this list without leaving the page.

What are new prediction markets?

A prediction market is a tradable question about a future event, and the venues open new ones constantly — around elections, court rulings, crypto prices, sports seasons, product launches, whatever the world is about to decide. A new prediction market is simply a question that just became tradable. PredictionBubbles aggregates the open markets from Kalshi and Polymarket into one place, so new questions surface here without scanning every venue by hand.

A new market is a signal about attention, not about outcomes: it means someone decided the question was worth pricing. Early prices on thin volume can swing sharply as the first real money arrives — which is exactly why the cards here carry volume and movement alongside the probability.

How this page defines "new"

Every market carries its venue's own opening timestamp, and that timestamp is the only ranking on this page — newest first, with movement and activity shown as context but never reordering the list. The windows are rolling and in UTC: "today" means within 24 hours of now and "this week" runs to seven days, recomputed on every 15-minute rebuild rather than pinned to calendar days.

Two kinds of market are deliberately not listed. A market with no usable opening timestamp cannot be aged, so it stays on the live board rather than being guessed at. And short-cycle recurring markets — hourly and daily price ladders whose whole life fits inside two weeks — are left to the board, because a contract that is "new" every hour would bury the genuine arrivals. The freshest window here is 24 hours for the same data-driven reason: the venues open a handful of durable markets a day, so a minutes-scale "just launched" list would sit empty most of the time.

Ages tick live in your browser from the venue's timestamp; the market data around them — probabilities, moves, volume — refreshes every 15 minutes with the rest of the site, from the same snapshot as the live board. A market too young to have a 24-hour comparison shows no change figure at all rather than a fabricated zero.

New, moving, or ending soon?

The discovery pages each own one axis of the same universe. New is organized by creation time: what just appeared, however quiet. Movers is organized by the 24-hour probability change: what is being repriced, however old. Ending soon is organized by time to resolution: what is about to be decided, however stable. A market can be new and stable, old and moving fast, or — most interesting of all — new, already moving and resolving within days; the cross-slices above exist to catch exactly those.

The markets hub holds the whole universe, and every market on any of these pages links to its own page with the full price history.

Want new markets as they appear?

Major market updates and fresh scanner findings post to the PredictionBubbles Telegram channel as each sweep sees them: t.me/predictionbubbles. On the site itself, every market page has a follow button for push alerts on big moves.

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