PredictionBubbles

Finance prediction markets

26 open finance markets across Polymarket and Kalshi, $73.1M traded in total. Sorted by volume; the odds column is the implied probability of the first outcome.

MarketOdds24h VolumeVenue
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?6.5%+0.1 points$7.9MPolymarket
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?88.8%+0.2 points$6.9MPolymarket
Fed rate hike in 2026?62.5%-5.0 points$6.3MPolymarket
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1%—$5.0MPolymarket
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1%—$4.8MPolymarket
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1%—$4.1MPolymarket
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.3%-0.1 points$3.8MPolymarket
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.2%-0.1 points$3.7MPolymarket
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1%—$3.2MPolymarket
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.2%—$3.2MPolymarket
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.2%—$2.6MPolymarket
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?19.5%—$2.4MPolymarket
Will GameStop acquire eBay?12.5%—$2.4MPolymarket
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?2.5%+0.1 points$2.4MPolymarket
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.7%-0.1 points$2.4MPolymarket
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?7.5%—$2.4MPolymarket
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.4%—$2.3MPolymarket
AI bubble burst in 2026?16.4%-1.5 points$2.3MPolymarket
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?20.0%-0.5 points$1.7MPolymarket
US recession by end of 2026?9.5%+2.0 points$1.7MPolymarket
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?0.1%—$1.4MPolymarket
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first? — Anthropic83.0%+1.0 points$169KKalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — OpenAI20.0%+2.0 points$155KKalshi
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? — Brex9.0%0.0 points$14KKalshi
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?59.0%—$13KPolymarket
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? — Ramp83.0%0.0 points$8KKalshi

All of them at once: the live board draws every market as a bubble — size is volume, colour is probability.