Climate prediction markets
3 open climate markets across Polymarket and Kalshi, $24.1M traded in total. Sorted by volume; the odds column is the implied probability of the first outcome.
| Market | Odds | 24h | Volume | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 4.0% | +0.2 points | $17.6M | Polymarket |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | 5.9% | +0.2 points | $6.5M | Polymarket |
| Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? | 77.0% | 0.0 points | $16K | Kalshi |
All of them at once: the live board draws every market as a bubble — size is volume, colour is probability.