Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes is trading at 6.2% on Polymarket, down 0.2 points in the last 24 hours. $2.6M has changed hands over the market’s life, $13K of it in the last day. It resolves on 3 November 2026, 89 days from now.
By volume it is number 209 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $13K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Polymarket ↗Current odds
| Yes | 6.2% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 93.8% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $2.6M
- 24h volume
- $13K
- 24h move
- -0.2 points
- Liquidity
- $130K
- Open interest
- $750K
- Opened
- 9 October 2025
- Resolves
- 3 November 2026
- Venue
- Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon
Where this price comes from
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.
More Politics markets
- Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?0.2% · Polymarket · $74.6M
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15.5% · Polymarket · $56.7M
- Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1.6% · Polymarket · $55.9M
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1% · Polymarket · $54.5M
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.4% · Polymarket · $54.2M
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.7% · Polymarket · $52.6M
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.9% · Polymarket · $50.1M
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.2% · Polymarket · $48.4M