Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
Above $200000 is trading at 3.0% on Kalshi. $6.7M traded over the market’s life, $19K of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 146 days from now.
By volume it is the largest of the 255 open crypto markets on the board, and $19K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Above $200000 | 3.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $6.7M
- 24h volume
- $19K
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $2.5M
- Opened
- 10 October 2025
- Resolves
- 1 January 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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