Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Flávio Bolsonaro is trading at 25.0% on Kalshi, down 1.0 points in the last 24 hours. $695K traded over the market’s life, $2K of it in the last day. It resolves on 25 October 2027, 443 days from now.
By volume it is number 561 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $2K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 25.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 75.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $695K
- 24h volume
- $2K
- 24h move
- -1.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $257K
- Opened
- 5 December 2025
- Resolves
- 25 October 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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