PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes is trading at 95.8% on Polymarket, up 1.7 points in the last 24 hours. $168K traded over the market’s life, $47K of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 146 days from now.

By volume it is number 793 of the 812 open politics markets on the board, and $47K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes95.8%
No4.2%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

27 Jul56.1% – 100.0%7 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$168K
24h volume
$47K
24h move
+1.7 points
Liquidity
$104K
Open interest
Opened
27 July 2026
Resolves
31 December 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

More Politics markets

All politics markets →