Polymarket · Politics

Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes is trading at 0.2% on Polymarket. $13.6M has changed hands over the market’s life, $3 of it in the last day. It was scheduled to resolve on 1 June 2026.

By volume it is number 92 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $3 of that traded in the last day.

Its scheduled resolution date passed 65 days ago. Polymarket still lists it as open, so the price above is current, but the question may be waiting on settlement.

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Current odds

Yes	0.2%
No	99.8%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul0.0% – 4.3%5 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume: $13.6M
24h volume: $3
24h move: —
Liquidity: $10K
Open interest: $33K
Opened: 27 April 2026
Resolves: 1 June 2026
Venue: Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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