PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?

Republican party is trading at 41.0% on Kalshi, down 1.0 points in the last 24 hours. $297K has changed hands over the market’s life, $39 of it in the last day. It runs until 7 November 2029.

By volume it is number 320 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $39 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Republican party41.0%
No59.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Aug34.8% – 51.2%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$297K
24h volume
$39
24h move
-1.0 points
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$136K
Opened
6 November 2024
Resolves
7 November 2029
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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