PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes is trading at 29.8% on Polymarket, down 0.1 points in the last 24 hours. $1.8M has changed hands over the market’s life, $5K of it in the last day. It resolves on 30 April 2027, 267 days from now.

By volume it is number 256 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $5K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes29.8%
No70.2%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul3.7% – 39.7%5 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$1.8M
24h volume
$5K
24h move
-0.1 points
Liquidity
$155K
Open interest
$887K
Opened
13 November 2025
Resolves
30 April 2027
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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