PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes is trading at 98.0% on Polymarket, down 0.2 points in the last 24 hours. $1.3M has changed hands over the market’s life, $515K of it in the last day. It was scheduled to resolve on 4 August 2026.

By volume it is number 306 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $515K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes98.0%
No2.1%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul54.8% – 100.0%5 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$1.3M
24h volume
$515K
24h move
-0.2 points
Liquidity
$69K
Open interest
$820K
Opened
15 September 2025
Resolves
4 August 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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