PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Ursula von der Leyen be the next Secretary General of NATO?

Ursula von der Leyen is trading at 11.0% on Kalshi. $527 has changed hands over the market’s life. It runs until 8 January 2099.

By volume it is number 354 of the 398 open politics markets on the board.

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Current odds

Ursula von der Leyen11.0%
No89.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

30 Jun2.7% – 12.3%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$527
24h volume
$0
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$102
Opened
29 June 2026
Resolves
8 January 2099
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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