PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Itamar Ben-Gvir is trading at 2.5% on Kalshi. $10K has changed hands over the market’s life. It runs until 1 January 2045.

By volume it is number 333 of the 398 open politics markets on the board.

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Current odds

Itamar Ben-Gvir2.5%
No97.5%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

25 Dec0.6% – 11.4%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$10K
24h volume
$0
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$4K
Opened
24 October 2025
Resolves
1 January 2045
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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