PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes is trading at 4.3% on Polymarket, up 0.4 points in the last 24 hours. $2.3M has changed hands over the market’s life, $3K of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 147 days from now.

By volume it is number 221 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $3K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes4.3%
No95.7%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul0.0% – 6.1%5 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$2.3M
24h volume
$3K
24h move
+0.4 points
Liquidity
$66K
Open interest
$813K
Opened
15 November 2025
Resolves
31 December 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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