PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes is trading at 0.1% on Polymarket. $24.3M has changed hands over the market’s life, $17K of it in the last day. It was scheduled to resolve on 31 July 2026.

By volume it is number 59 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $17K of that traded in the last day.

Its scheduled resolution date passed 5 days ago. Polymarket still lists it as open, so the price above is current, but the question may be waiting on settlement.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes0.1%
No100.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul0.0% – 19.5%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$24.3M
24h volume
$17K
24h move
—
Liquidity
$1.6M
Open interest
$3.8M
Opened
11 May 2026
Resolves
31 July 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

More Politics markets

All politics markets →