Will the Democratic party win the Presidency in 2032?
Democratic party is trading at 43.0% on Kalshi. $111 has changed hands over the market’s life. It runs until 2 November 2033.
By volume it is number 371 of the 398 open politics markets on the board.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Democratic party | 43.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 57.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $111
- 24h volume
- $0
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $63
- Opened
- 15 May 2026
- Resolves
- 2 November 2033
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.
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