PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

Yes is trading at 100.0% on Polymarket, up 0.1 points in the last 24 hours. $2.9M has changed hands over the market’s life, $65K of it in the last day. It was scheduled to resolve on 2 August 2026.

By volume it is number 201 of the 398 open politics markets on the board, and $65K of that traded in the last day.

Its scheduled resolution date passed 2 days ago. Polymarket still lists it as open, so the price above is current, but the question may be waiting on settlement.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes100.0%
No0.1%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

27 Jul55.2% – 100.0%5 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$2.9M
24h volume
$65K
24h move
+0.1 points
Liquidity
$65K
Open interest
$2.0M
Opened
27 July 2026
Resolves
2 August 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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