PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · OtherOpen

What will Advance Auto Parts, Inc. say during their next earnings call? — ARGOS

ARGOS — market-implied probability

58.0%

No 42.0%

$2Klifetime volume

$2K24h volume

$1Kopen interest

ARGOS is trading at 58.0% on Kalshi. $2K traded over the market’s life, $2K of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 134 days from now.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

ARGOS58.0%
No42.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market activity

$2KLifetime volume

traded over the market's life.

$2K24h volume

traded in the last day.

$1KOpen interest

still committed in open positions.

Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.

Market timeline

opened

resolves

134 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.

Other markets resolving in December 2026 →

This market is new — see other new markets →

What does 58.0% mean?

The market is currently pricing the ARGOS outcome at about 58.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 58.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.

When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.

Where this price comes from

Source
Kalshi
Type
CFTC-regulated, US
Updated
every 15 minutes
Prices read

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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