PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · CryptoOpen

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

Yes — market-implied probability

70.0%▼ -8.5 points in 24h

No 30.0%

$474lifetime volume

$47424h volume

$7Kliquidity

Yes is trading at 70.0% on Polymarket, down 8.5 points in the last 24 hours. $474 traded over the market’s life, $474 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 126 days from now.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes70.0%
No30.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market activity

$474Lifetime volume

traded over the market's life.

$47424h volume

traded in the last day.

$7KLiquidity

resting on the order book.

Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.

Market timeline

opened

resolves

126 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.

Other markets resolving in January 2027 →

This market is new — see other new markets →

What does 70.0% mean?

The market is currently pricing the Yes outcome at about 70.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 70.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability, the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.

When the price moves, the market has repriced the question. The 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.

Where this price comes from

Source
Polymarket
Type
on-chain, Polygon
Updated
every 15 minutes
Prices read

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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