PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · SportsOpen

Tobol vs Partizan Belgrade: Tobol To Advance

Tobol advances — market-implied probability

1.0%▼ -5.0 points in 24h

No 99.0%

$699Klifetime volume

$698K24h volume

$580Kopen interest

Tobol advances is trading at 1.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 points in the last 24 hours. $699K traded over the market’s life, $698K of it in the last day. It resolves on 10 September 2026, 27 days from now.

By volume it is number 282 of the 699 open sports markets on the board, and $698K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Tobol advances1.0%
No99.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

7 Aug9.0% – 18.0%12 Aug

Yes moved from 18.0% to 9.0% over the 5 days charted — 9.0 points lower.

Price history for Yes over the 5 days charted
Window open18.0%
Latest sample9.0%
Change over window-9.0 points
Window high18.0%
Window low9.0%
Samples6, about every 24 hours

Read off the samples the line is drawn from. A price moved; PredictionBubbles reports the move and does not determine what caused it. Points, not percent — a change from 20% to 25% is five points.

Sampled for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market activity

$699KLifetime volume

traded over the market's life.

$698K24h volume

traded in the last day.

$580KOpen interest

still committed in open positions.

Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.

Market timeline

opened

resolves

27 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.

See other markets ending soon →

This market is new — see other new markets →

What does 1.0% mean?

The market is currently pricing the Tobol advances outcome at about 1.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 1.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.

When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.

Where this price comes from

Source
Kalshi
Type
CFTC-regulated, US
Updated
every 15 minutes
Prices read

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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