Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?
Yes — market-implied probability
48.0%
No 52.0%
$143lifetime volume
$14324h volume
$53liquidity
Yes is trading at 48.0% on Polymarket. $143 traded over the market’s life, $143 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 September 2026, 19 days from now.
By volume it is number 266 of the 266 open crypto markets on the board, and $143 of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Yes | 48.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 52.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$143Lifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$14324h volume
traded in the last day.
$53Liquidity
resting on the order book.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
11 August 2026opened
1 September 2026resolves
19 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 48.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Yes outcome at about 48.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 48.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Polymarket
- Type
- on-chain, Polygon
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.