US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley
Martin Landaluce — market-implied probability
70.5%▲ +19.0 points in 24h
Jacob Fearnley 29.5%
$649Klifetime volume
$647K24h volume
$11Kliquidity
Martin Landaluce is trading at 70.5% on Polymarket, up 19.0 points in the last 24 hours. $649K traded over the market’s life, $647K of it in the last day. It resolves on 6 September 2026, 6 days from now.
By volume it is number 317 of the 669 open sports markets on the board, and $647K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Martin Landaluce | 70.5% | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | 29.5% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$649KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$647K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$11KLiquidity
resting on the order book.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
opened
resolves
6 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 70.5% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Martin Landaluce outcome at about 70.5%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 70.5% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability, the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question. The 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Polymarket
- Type
- on-chain, Polygon
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
- Prices read
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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