US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro
Jesper de Jong — market-implied probability
31.5%▼ -25.0 points in 24h
Francesco Passaro 68.5%
$374Klifetime volume
$290K24h volume
$21Kliquidity
Jesper de Jong is trading at 31.5% on Polymarket, down 25.0 points in the last 24 hours. $374K traded over the market’s life, $290K of it in the last day. It resolves on 6 September 2026, 3 days from now.
By volume it is number 485 of the 705 open sports markets on the board, and $290K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Jesper de Jong | 31.5% | |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Passaro | 68.5% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$374KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$290K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$21KLiquidity
resting on the order book.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
opened
resolves
3 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 31.5% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Jesper de Jong outcome at about 31.5%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 31.5% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability, the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question. The 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Polymarket
- Type
- on-chain, Polygon
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
- Prices read
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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