PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · SportsOpen

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Aurora Gaming — market-implied probability

84.5%▲ +12.0 points in 24h

M80 15.5%

$372Klifetime volume

$372K24h volume

$147Kliquidity

Aurora Gaming is trading at 84.5% on Polymarket, up 12.0 points in the last 24 hours. $372K traded over the market’s life, $372K of it in the last day. It resolves today, 13 August 2026.

By volume it is number 462 of the 672 open sports markets on the board, and $372K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Aurora Gaming84.5%
M8015.5%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market activity

$372KLifetime volume

traded over the market's life.

$372K24h volume

traded in the last day.

$147KLiquidity

resting on the order book.

Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.

Market timeline

opened

resolves

Resolves today — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.

See other markets ending soon →

This market is new — see other new markets →

What does 84.5% mean?

The market is currently pricing the Aurora Gaming outcome at about 84.5%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 84.5% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.

When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.

Where this price comes from

Source
Polymarket
Type
on-chain, Polygon
Updated
every 15 minutes
Prices read

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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