PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · SportsOpen

St. Lucia Kings vs St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots men's cricket match: St. Lucia Kings wins

St. Lucia Kings — market-implied probability

3.0%▼ -54.0 points in 24h

No 97.0%

$2.0Mlifetime volume

$1.7M24h volume

$1.0Mopen interest

St. Lucia Kings is trading at 3.0% on Kalshi, down 54.0 points in the last 24 hours. $2.0M traded over the market’s life, $1.7M of it in the last day. It resolves on 15 August 2026, 2 days from now.

By volume it is number 73 of the 699 open sports markets on the board, and $1.7M of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

St. Lucia Kings3.0%
No97.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

10 Aug52.0% – 85.0%12 Aug

Yes moved from 85.0% to 57.0% over the 2 days charted — 28.0 points lower, ranging between 52.0% and 85.0% on the way.

Price history for Yes over the 2 days charted
Window open85.0%
Latest sample57.0%
Change over window-28.0 points
Window high85.0%
Window low52.0%
Samples3, about every 24 hours

Read off the samples the line is drawn from. A price moved; PredictionBubbles reports the move and does not determine what caused it. Points, not percent — a change from 20% to 25% is five points.

Sampled for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market activity

$2.0MLifetime volume

traded over the market's life.

$1.7M24h volume

traded in the last day.

$1.0MOpen interest

still committed in open positions.

Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.

Market timeline

opened

resolves

2 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.

See other markets ending soon →

What does 3.0% mean?

The market is currently pricing the St. Lucia Kings outcome at about 3.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 3.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.

When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.

Where this price comes from

Source
Kalshi
Type
CFTC-regulated, US
Updated
every 15 minutes
Prices read

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

More Sports markets

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.1%implied probability

$12.9M traded · Polymarket · resolves

Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.1%implied probability

$12.2M traded · Polymarket · resolves

Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.1%implied probability

$12.2M traded · Polymarket · resolves

Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.1%implied probability

$12.0M traded · Polymarket · resolves

The biggest sports markets on the board by traded volume — browsing rather than a claim that they bear on this question. All sports markets → · See this market on the live board → · Markets moving now →