PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · SportsOpen

Chicago vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins?

Golden State — market-implied probability

81.0%

No 19.0%

$1.2Mlifetime volume

$1.1M24h volume

$810Kopen interest

Golden State is trading at 81.0% on Kalshi. $1.2M traded over the market’s life, $1.1M of it in the last day. It resolves on 15 August 2026, 1 day from now.

By volume it is number 157 of the 698 open sports markets on the board, and $1.1M of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Golden State81.0%
No19.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

10 Aug80.0% – 82.0%12 Aug

Yes moved from 80.0% to 81.0% over the 2 days charted — 1.0 points higher, ranging between 80.0% and 82.0% on the way.

Price history for Yes over the 2 days charted
Window open80.0%
Latest sample81.0%
Change over window+1.0 points
Window high82.0%
Window low80.0%
Samples3, about every 24 hours

Read off the samples the line is drawn from. A price moved; PredictionBubbles reports the move and does not determine what caused it. Points, not percent — a change from 20% to 25% is five points.

Sampled for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market activity

$1.2MLifetime volume

traded over the market's life.

$1.1M24h volume

traded in the last day.

$810KOpen interest

still committed in open positions.

Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.

Market timeline

opened

resolves

1 day remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.

See other markets ending soon →

This market is new — see other new markets →

What does 81.0% mean?

The market is currently pricing the Golden State outcome at about 81.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 81.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.

When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.

Where this price comes from

Source
Kalshi
Type
CFTC-regulated, US
Updated
every 15 minutes
Prices read

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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