Baltimore vs Minnesota Winner?
Baltimore — market-implied probability
14.0%
No 86.0%
$2.2Mlifetime volume
$1.3Mopen interest
Baltimore is trading at 14.0% on Kalshi. $2.2M traded over the market’s life. It resolves on 15 August 2026, 2 days from now.
This market has settled — it resolved no. The odds below are the last traded prices before close.
Final odds
| Baltimore | 14.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 86.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$2.2MLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$1.3MOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
opened
resolved
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- closing price, recorded before settlement
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the closing price on this contract, recorded before the market settled. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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