SHEIN IPO before 2027?
Yes — market-implied probability
98.6%▲ +4.4 points in 24h
No 1.5%
$106Klifetime volume
$87224h volume
$5Kliquidity
Yes is trading at 98.6% on Polymarket, up 4.4 points in the last 24 hours. $106K traded over the market’s life, $872 of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 140 days from now.
By volume it is number 150 of the 157 open finance markets on the board, and $872 of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Yes | 98.6% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 1.5% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market activity
$106KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$87224h volume
traded in the last day.
$5KLiquidity
resting on the order book.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
2 February 2026opened
31 December 2026resolves
140 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 98.6% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Yes outcome at about 98.6%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 98.6% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Polymarket
- Type
- on-chain, Polygon
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.