Who will IPO before 2027? — Shein
Shein — market-implied probability
95.0%▲ +3.0 points in 24h
No 5.0%
$39Klifetime volume
$2424h volume
$16Kopen interest
Shein is trading at 95.0% on Kalshi, up 3.0 points in the last 24 hours. $39K traded over the market’s life, $24 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 141 days from now.
By volume it is number 152 of the 157 open finance markets on the board, and $24 of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Shein | 95.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 5.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market activity
$39KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$2424h volume
traded in the last day.
$16KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
20 November 2025opened
1 January 2027resolves
141 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 95.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Shein outcome at about 95.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 95.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.