Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in July 2026?
Above 0.0% — market-implied probability
72.0%▲ +9.0 points in 24h
No 28.0%
$418Klifetime volume
$223K24h volume
$287Kopen interest
Above 0.0% is trading at 72.0% on Kalshi, up 9.0 points in the last 24 hours. $418K traded over the market’s life, $223K of it in the last day. It resolves today, 12 August 2026.
By volume it is number 30 of the 45 open other markets on the board, and $223K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Above 0.0% | 72.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 28.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market activity
$418KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$223K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$287KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
20 February 2026opened
12 August 2026resolves
Resolves today — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 72.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Above 0.0% outcome at about 72.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 72.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.