When will OpenAI IPO? — Before Mar 1, 2027
Before Mar 1, 2027 — market-implied probability
25.0%▼ -15.0 points in 24h
No 75.0%
$24Klifetime volume
$1K24h volume
$7Kopen interest
Before Mar 1, 2027 is trading at 25.0% on Kalshi, down 15.0 points in the last 24 hours. $24K traded over the market’s life, $1K of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 March 2027, 201 days from now.
By volume it is number 41 of the 56 open other markets on the board, and $1K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 25.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 75.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market activity
$24KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$1K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$7KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
30 July 2025opened
1 March 2027resolves
201 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 25.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Before Mar 1, 2027 outcome at about 25.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 25.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.