PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · OtherOpen

When will OpenAI IPO? — Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027 — market-implied probability

32.0%▼ -4.0 points in 24h

No 68.0%

$31Klifetime volume

$30224h volume

$7Kopen interest

Before Feb 1, 2027 is trading at 32.0% on Kalshi, down 4.0 points in the last 24 hours. $31K traded over the market’s life, $302 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 February 2027, 173 days from now.

By volume it is number 40 of the 56 open other markets on the board, and $302 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Before Feb 1, 202732.0%
No68.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

3 Dec7.2% – 100.0%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market activity

$31KLifetime volume

traded over the market's life.

$30224h volume

traded in the last day.

$7KOpen interest

still committed in open positions.

Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.

Market timeline

30 July 2025opened

1 February 2027resolves

173 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.

What does 32.0% mean?

The market is currently pricing the Before Feb 1, 2027 outcome at about 32.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 32.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.

When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.

Where this price comes from

Source
Kalshi
Type
CFTC-regulated, US
Updated
every 15 minutes

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.