What will Amer Sports, Inc. say during their next earnings call? — Tariff
Tariff — market-implied probability
85.0%
No 15.0%
$3Klifetime volume
$3K24h volume
$2Kopen interest
Tariff is trading at 85.0% on Kalshi. $3K traded over the market’s life, $3K of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 141 days from now.
By volume it is number 46 of the 51 open other markets on the board, and $3K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Tariff | 85.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 15.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$3KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$3K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$2KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
11 August 2026opened
31 December 2026resolves
141 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 85.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Tariff outcome at about 85.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 85.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.