Polymarket · Politics

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Yes is trading at 70.5% on Polymarket, up 1.5 points in the last 24 hours. $14K traded over the market’s life, $11K of it in the last day. It resolves on 30 September 2026, 51 days from now.

By volume it is number 925 of the 936 open politics markets on the board, and $11K of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Yes	70.5%
No	29.5%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

7 Aug56.8% – 73.8%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume: $14K
24h volume: $11K
24h move: +1.5 points
Liquidity: $17K
Open interest: —
Opened: 7 August 2026
Resolves: 30 September 2026
Venue: Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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