PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before September?

Before Sep 1, 2026 is trading at 0.1% on Kalshi, down 1.0 points in the last 24 hours. $463K traded over the market’s life, $107K of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 September 2026, 20 days from now.

By volume it is number 644 of the 921 open politics markets on the board, and $107K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Before Sep 1, 20260.1%
No99.9%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

18 Feb0.0% – 71.9%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$463K
24h volume
$107K
24h move
-1.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$244K
Opened
17 February 2026
Resolves
1 September 2026
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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