Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
Peggy Flanagan — market-implied probability
71.0%▼ -2.0 points in 24h
No 29.0%
$430Klifetime volume
$129K24h volume
$249Kopen interest
Peggy Flanagan is trading at 71.0% on Kalshi, down 2.0 points in the last 24 hours. $430K traded over the market’s life, $129K of it in the last day. It resolves on 3 November 2026, 83 days from now.
By volume it is number 669 of the 922 open politics markets on the board, and $129K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Peggy Flanagan | 71.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 29.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market activity
$430KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$129K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$249KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
28 March 2025opened
3 November 2026resolves
83 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 71.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Peggy Flanagan outcome at about 71.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 71.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.