Will Luciano Darderi win the Darderi vs Nakashima: Quarterfinal match?
Luciano Darderi — market-implied probability
1.0%
No 99.0%
$1.8Mlifetime volume
$1.2Mopen interest
Luciano Darderi is trading at 1.0% on Kalshi. $1.8M traded over the market’s life. It resolves on 24 August 2026, 12 days from now.
This market has settled — it resolved no. The odds below are the last traded prices before close.
Final odds
| Luciano Darderi | 1.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$1.8MLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$1.2MOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
9 August 2026opened
24 August 2026resolved
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- closing price, recorded before settlement
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the closing price on this contract, recorded before the market settled. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.