Will Ergi Kirkin win the Kirkin vs Nedic: Round Of 32 match?
Ergi Kirkin — market-implied probability
1.0%
No 99.0%
$928Klifetime volume
$928K24h volume
$429Kopen interest
Ergi Kirkin is trading at 1.0% on Kalshi. $928K traded over the market’s life, $928K of it in the last day. It resolves on 25 August 2026, 13 days from now.
By volume it is number 193 of the 626 open sports markets on the board, and $928K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Ergi Kirkin | 1.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$928KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$928K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$429KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
10 August 2026opened
25 August 2026resolves
13 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 1.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Ergi Kirkin outcome at about 1.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 1.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.