Will Brandon Nakashima win the Darderi vs Nakashima: Quarterfinal match?
Brandon Nakashima — market-implied probability
70.0%▲ +1.0 points in 24h
No 30.0%
$517Klifetime volume
$494K24h volume
$474Kopen interest
Brandon Nakashima is trading at 70.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points in the last 24 hours. $517K traded over the market’s life, $494K of it in the last day. It resolves on 24 August 2026, 13 days from now.
By volume it is number 327 of the 626 open sports markets on the board, and $494K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Brandon Nakashima | 70.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 30.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market activity
$517KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$494K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$474KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
9 August 2026opened
24 August 2026resolves
13 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 70.0% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Brandon Nakashima outcome at about 70.0%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 70.0% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.