Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
In 2026 is trading at 21.0% on Kalshi, up 3.3 points in the last 24 hours. $232K traded over the market’s life, $571 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 143 days from now.
By volume it is number 109 of the 162 open finance markets on the board, and $571 of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| In 2026 | 21.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 79.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $232K
- 24h volume
- $571
- 24h move
- +3.3 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $72K
- Opened
- 19 December 2025
- Resolves
- 1 January 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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