Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?
Before Nov 1, 2026 is trading at 21.0% on Kalshi. $3K traded over the market’s life, $3K of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 November 2026, 82 days from now.
By volume it is number 36 of the 36 open tech markets on the board, and $3K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 21.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 79.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $3K
- 24h volume
- $3K
- 24h move
- —
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $3K
- Opened
- 10 August 2026
- Resolves
- 1 November 2026
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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