Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
Angie Craig — market-implied probability
0.2%▼ -27.8 points in 24h
No 99.8%
$504Klifetime volume
$221K24h volume
$240Kopen interest
Angie Craig is trading at 0.2% on Kalshi, down 27.8 points in the last 24 hours. $504K traded over the market’s life, $221K of it in the last day. It resolves on 3 November 2026, 83 days from now.
By volume it is number 636 of the 914 open politics markets on the board, and $221K of that traded in the last day.
Current odds
| Angie Craig | 0.2% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.8% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market activity
$504KLifetime volume
traded over the market's life.
$221K24h volume
traded in the last day.
$240KOpen interest
still committed in open positions.
Where the venue does not publish a figure, it is left out rather than shown as zero.
Market timeline
28 March 2025opened
3 November 2026resolves
83 days remaining — recalculated on every 15-minute rebuild.
What does 0.2% mean?
The market is currently pricing the Angie Craig outcome at about 0.2%: a contract that pays $1 if the market resolves that way costs roughly 0.2% of its payout to buy. That number is the market-implied probability — the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, not a forecast by PredictionBubbles.
When the price moves, the market has repriced the question — the 24-hour figure on this page is that move in probability points, not percent. Markets can be early, late or wrong; what keeps the number honest is that anyone who disagrees can trade against it.
Where this price comes from
- Source
- Kalshi
- Type
- CFTC-regulated, US
- Updated
- every 15 minutes
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.