Kalshi · Other

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?

Hike >25bps is trading at 18.0% on Kalshi. $2K has changed hands over the market’s life. It resolves on 26 January 2028, 539 days from now.

By volume it is number 39 of the 61 open other markets on the board.

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Current odds

Hike >25bps	18.0%
No	82.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

15 Jan0.0% – 71.8%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume: $2K
24h volume: $0
24h move: 0.0 points
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $854
Opened: 6 October 2025
Resolves: 26 January 2028
Venue: Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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